Friends, Model probabilities have finally ticked slightly downwards. As the effect of today’s vaccine news propagates through the market, it would make sense for these probabilities to continue falling in the months ahead. Current Values (as of November 7, 2020)
Recession Model Update (November 2020)
Recession Model Update (November 2020)
Recession Model Update (November 2020)
Friends, Model probabilities have finally ticked slightly downwards. As the effect of today’s vaccine news propagates through the market, it would make sense for these probabilities to continue falling in the months ahead. Current Values (as of November 7, 2020)