Recession / Turbulence Model Updates

Home
Archive
About
Recession Model Update (August 2022)
"Whose recession is it anyway?"
 • 
Terrence Zhang
New
Top
Community
Recession Model Update (June 2022)
Unsurprisingly, the model values have been marching upwards as the general public becomes more aware of the possibility for a recession soon.
 • 
Terrence Zhang
Recession Model Update (March 2022)
Friends, Just 2 quick updates for you: one on the model, and one on a useful but under-mentioned inflation forecasting tool.
 • 
Terrence Zhang
Recession Model Update (May 2021)
Friends, Surprisingly, model values spiked up this month. But I believe this is caused by an arithmetic glitch rather than a deeper underlying signal…
 • 
Terrence Zhang
2
Recession Model Update (April 2021)
Friends, Current Values (as of April 8, 2021) Box Office Recovery People are finally heading back to movie theaters. Last week’s U.S. movie theater…
 • 
Terrence Zhang
Recession Model Update (March 2021)
Friends, With model values rapidly declining, I fully expect NBER to announce the end of the current recession soon. Current Values (as of March 8…
 • 
Terrence Zhang
1
Recession Model Update (February 2021)
Friends, Model values continue dropping across all time frames, suggesting that the recovery is charging ahead. Current Values (as of February 8, 2021…
 • 
Terrence Zhang
1
Recession Model Update (January 2021)
Friends, Model values continue to fall across all time frames. Current Values (as of January 8, 2021) As discussed in last month’s update, as long as…
 • 
Terrence Zhang
Recession / Turbulence Model Updates
Recession / Turbulence Model Updates
Periodic updates on the Recession Model and Turbulence Indicator

Recession / Turbulence Model Updates

AboutArchiveSitemap
© 2023 Terrence Zhang
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start WritingGet the app
Substack is the home for great writing