Friends, Recession probabilities edged downwards again. Some themes: A "blowout" non-farm payrolls report last week, coupled with upward revisions to prior months' non-farm payrolls figures. The Atlanta Fed's "GDP Now" model is projecting 2.0% growth
Recession Model Update (December 2019)
Recession Model Update (December 2019)
Recession Model Update (December 2019)
Friends, Recession probabilities edged downwards again. Some themes: A "blowout" non-farm payrolls report last week, coupled with upward revisions to prior months' non-farm payrolls figures. The Atlanta Fed's "GDP Now" model is projecting 2.0% growth