Friends, In a coincidence of timing, NBER officially declared the current recession 1 day after my previous update. Click here for the full announcement, where NBER also discusses some nuances of evaluating this current cycle: “The fact that the monthly peak of February occurred in the middle of 2020Q1 while the quarterly peak occurred in 2019Q4
Recession Model Update (July 2020)
Recession Model Update (July 2020)
Recession Model Update (July 2020)
Friends, In a coincidence of timing, NBER officially declared the current recession 1 day after my previous update. Click here for the full announcement, where NBER also discusses some nuances of evaluating this current cycle: “The fact that the monthly peak of February occurred in the middle of 2020Q1 while the quarterly peak occurred in 2019Q4