Recession / Turbulence Model Updates

Home
Archive
About
"Whose recession is it anyway?"
Terrence Zhang
NewTopCommunity
Unsurprisingly, the model values have been marching upwards as the general public becomes more aware of the possibility for a recession soon.
Terrence Zhang
Friends, Just 2 quick updates for you: one on the model, and one on a useful but under-mentioned inflation forecasting tool.
Terrence Zhang
Friends, Surprisingly, model values spiked up this month. But I believe this is caused by an arithmetic glitch rather than a deeper underlying signal…
Terrence Zhang
2
Friends, Current Values (as of April 8, 2021) Box Office Recovery People are finally heading back to movie theaters. Last week’s U.S. movie theater…
Terrence Zhang
Friends, With model values rapidly declining, I fully expect NBER to announce the end of the current recession soon. Current Values (as of March 8…
Terrence Zhang
1
Friends, Model values continue dropping across all time frames, suggesting that the recovery is charging ahead. Current Values (as of February 8, 2021…
Terrence Zhang
1
Friends, Model values continue to fall across all time frames. Current Values (as of January 8, 2021) As discussed in last month’s update, as long as…
Terrence Zhang
See all

Recession / Turbulence Model Updates

AboutArchiveSitemap
© 2023 Terrence Zhang
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start WritingGet the app
Substack is the home for great writing